Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.022299 0.027076 0.032109 0.037762 0.043895 0.050311 0.057496
2025-11-30 0.015049 0.021684 0.029233 0.038243 0.048521 0.059725 0.072720
2025-12-07 0.010811 0.018413 0.027685 0.039308 0.053066 0.068494 0.086797
2025-12-14 0.008266 0.016507 0.027200 0.041141 0.058107 0.077516 0.100901
2025-12-21 0.006004 0.014403 0.026046 0.041820 0.061508 0.084433 0.112421
2025-12-28 0.005307 0.014378 0.027482 0.045629 0.068599 0.095598 0.128787
2026-01-04 0.003346 0.011824 0.025131 0.044327 0.069232 0.098980 0.135977
2026-01-11 0.002374 0.010653 0.024550 0.045204 0.072465 0.105384 0.146639
2026-01-18 0.001527 0.009376 0.023625 0.045486 0.074849 0.110690 0.155943
2026-01-25 0.000935 0.008344 0.022930 0.045981 0.077431 0.116184 0.165429
2026-02-01 0.000464 0.007231 0.021937 0.045949 0.079251 0.120686 0.173682
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.005502 0.019586 0.043756 0.078086 0.121383 0.177258
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004085 0.017559 0.041980 0.077516 0.122942 0.182075
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003563 0.017220 0.042766 0.080441 0.128947 0.192378
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003203 0.017154 0.043957 0.083911 0.135647 0.203545
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003066 0.017571 0.045912 0.088444 0.143709 0.216399
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002660 0.017256 0.046633 0.091226 0.149509 0.226449
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003021 0.018921 0.050661 0.098689 0.161363 0.244016
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002213 0.017393 0.049286 0.098463 0.163252 0.249201
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001947 0.017248 0.050213 0.101493 0.169351 0.259611
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001603 0.016763 0.050511 0.103595 0.174226 0.268485
2026-04-19 NaN 0.001335 0.016425 0.051034 0.106004 0.179490 0.277839
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001027 0.015803 0.050999 0.107572 0.183631 0.285769